Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.001070 0.001215 0.001359 0.001515 0.001676 0.001838 0.002014
2026-01-25 0.000805 0.001010 0.001222 0.001456 0.001705 0.001960 0.002240
2026-02-01 0.000620 0.000869 0.001134 0.001435 0.001760 0.002099 0.002476
2026-02-08 0.000487 0.000769 0.001080 0.001440 0.001837 0.002256 0.002726
2026-02-15 0.000384 0.000690 0.001041 0.001456 0.001920 0.002414 0.002974
2026-02-22 0.000305 0.000630 0.001017 0.001483 0.002011 0.002578 0.003224
2026-03-01 0.000220 0.000552 0.000965 0.001473 0.002057 0.002689 0.003414
2026-03-08 0.000140 0.000467 0.000897 0.001439 0.002071 0.002763 0.003560
2026-03-15 0.000094 0.000419 0.000870 0.001451 0.002134 0.002887 0.003759
2026-03-22 0.000051 0.000363 0.000829 0.001442 0.002172 0.002981 0.003923
2026-03-29 0.000027 0.000333 0.000817 0.001466 0.002246 0.003114 0.004127
2026-04-05 0.000006 0.000288 0.000783 0.001461 0.002283 0.003204 0.004283
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000230 0.000737 0.001454 0.002337 0.003334 0.004507
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000153 0.000650 0.001392 0.002325 0.003389 0.004650
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000102 0.000595 0.001368 0.002357 0.003494 0.004849
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000069 0.000562 0.001372 0.002421 0.003636 0.005088
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000045 0.000539 0.001387 0.002497 0.003790 0.005342
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000029 0.000525 0.001412 0.002586 0.003959 0.005610
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000009 0.000488 0.001402 0.002629 0.004072 0.005813
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000437 0.001369 0.002640 0.004146 0.005971
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000418 0.001380 0.002706 0.004284 0.006200
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000388 0.001371 0.002745 0.004389 0.006391
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000379 0.001395 0.002825 0.004542 0.006636